Candidate Preference, Membership Group, and Estimates of Voting Behavior
Published Online:January 2011https://doi.org/10.1521/soco.1987.5.4.323
Abstract
People who differed in candidate preference and group membership were asked to estimate the voting behavior of nine categories of people within the U.S. electorate. The false-consensus hypothesis was supported in six of the nine instances. When both preference and membership were independent variables, a significant interaction occurred in five of six analyses. The estimates of both members and nonmembers supported the false-consensus (assimilation) tendency, but this tendency was stronger for members.
